Monday, December 30, 2019

Autism Spectrum Disorders ( Asds ) - 1988 Words

Introduction: This research paper is on Autism Spectrum Disorders (ASDs). This paper is being written from a nursing standpoint, leading into a further investigation and understanding about what this disorder is, beyond a summarized section in a nursing textbook. In nursing, it is important that we try to learn as much as possible about diseases and disorders, so we can provide proper care. Pathophysiology: Autism Spectrum Disorders (ASDs) are a group of complex â€Å"neurological developmental disorders† consisting of Aspergers, Autism, and pervasive development disorder (Perry, Hockenberry, Lowdermilk, Wilson, 2010, P. 1198). Recognized around twenty-four to forty-eight months of age, ASD is more common in males than females, and occurs in â€Å"1 to 166 children,† and can range from mild to severe (Perry, 2010, p. 1198). A mild case of autism can require little supervision, while a severe case of autism requires intense supervision because of their tendency to harm themselves (Perry, 2010, p. 1198). Many of the clinical manifestations of ASD may appear during social interaction, during communication, and may also be observed in their behavior (Perry, 2010, p. 1198). One common sign of ASD can be observed during communication/ interaction with the child, as many will present with a lack of eye contact and body contact (Perry, 2010, p. 1198). Some other signs that a chil d may present with is the failure of peer relationship formation, lack of spontaneity/ interest, languageShow MoreRelatedAutism Spectrum Disorder ( Asd )1722 Words   |  7 Pagesin every sixty-eight births are diagnosed with the Autism spectrum disorder in other words (ASD), which is about one percent of the world’s population. And that more than three point five million people in America live with a person who has the Autism spectrum disorder. We all know that Autism is a spectrum disorder in which an abnormality is developed in the brain. It is a long life condition that has no cure for itself. People who have Autism face many difficulties in their communication and theirRead MoreAutism Spectrum Disorder ( Asd )1441 Words   |  6 PagesIntroduction Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is a hereditary neurodevelopmental disorder. Like many other psychological disorders, it is commonly misunderstood in popular culture. Many allude to it casually, often equating it with crippling social awkwardness and disability when it is in fact a spectrum disorder with many degrees of severity. It is somewhat of an enigma within the scientific community as well; there are many things we do not know about ASD and there is ongoing research to learn moreRead MoreAutism Spectrum Disorder ( Asd )1535 Words   |  7 PagesHow Autism Influences the Interactions with Others There is a little boy that gets up every morning and goes to school. He goes home to his parents after school each day. He eats, sleeps, and plays just like any other child. There is one difference. He sees the world in a unique way than most other children not affected by Autism Spectrum Disorder. The boy’s life and actions are a bit different and can be challenging for him. He needs understanding parents, family members, and teachers. Autism SpectrumRead MoreAutism Spectrum Disorder ( Asd )1444 Words   |  6 PagesAutism Spectrum Disorder Dustin S. Staats University of Central Oklahoma â€Å"Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) formerly known as just Autism, is a disorder that affects about 1 in 68 children here in the United States.† (Facts about ASD) This is a pretty high prevalence and the number is continuing to rise. â€Å"Autism is a developmental disability that can cause significant impairments in behavioral, communication, and social aspects of everyday life.†(Facts about ASD). The intellectual functioning ofRead MoreAutism Spectrum Disorder ( Asd )1569 Words   |  7 Pagesdiagnoses for autism spectrum disorder (ASD) occur has seen a dramatic growth in numbers. With diagnoses for ASD increasing, more siblings are also being found to have grown up with a sister or brother with autism spectrum disorder. Previous studies have shown no consensus on whether or not siblings of persons with ASD are at risk for negative effects. However, patterns of anxiety among these siblings are being examined to see if characteristics of a child with autism spectrum disorder and their parentsRead MoreAutism Spectrum Disorder ( Asd )1369 Words   |  6 PagesAutism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) Introduction I don t think people understand how unique children with Autism are or the demands of caring for a child with Autism is. In order to grasp the effect of this disability has on a child or their family it is important to understand the characteristics of a child living with Autism. So for you to understand I will be talking about Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) or Autism in a childs life. I will be talking about what autism is, the history and descriptionRead MoreAutism Spectrum Disorder ( Asd )1587 Words   |  7 Pages Topic: Autism Spectrum Disorder  (ASD) Purpose: My audience will learn the importance of recognizing early signs of Autism Spectrum Disorder in children. Thesis: It is important to understand the early signs of Autism Spectrum Disorder, and why early intervention is the best treatment. Introduction: Gain/maintain attention There is a television show I like to watch called â€Å"The Big Bang Theory, maybe some of you have seen it. This show focuses on the relationships between a group of friends, someRead MoreAutism Spectrum Disorder ( Asd ) Essay1168 Words   |  5 PagesAutism Spectrum Disorder, as defined by the National Institute of Neurological Disorders, refers to a group of complex neurodevelopment disorders characterized by repetitive and characteristic patterns of behavior and difficulties with social communication and interaction (ninds.nih.gov). Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) is a very complex developmental disorder and the term ‘spectrum’ was added to the original term simply known as ‘Autism’ due to the wide range of symptoms associated with the disorderRead MoreAutism Spectrum Disorder ( Asd )1852 Words   |  8 PagesThe following paper is going to cover the topic of Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD). Using research and data collected from various authors and journalists the paper will describe the different variations of autism and discuss the impact autism has on a person- in society, at home, in the classroom, and in their careers. Beginning at infancy, autism has a major impact on not just the child but their family’s life as well. The child’s lack of ability to interpret social cues, gestures, and expressionsRead MoreAutism Spectrum Disorder ( Asd ) Essay1240 Words   |  5 PagesAutism Spectrum Disorder Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) is a range of conditions grouped under the neurodevelopmental disorders in the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM-5) published in 2013 (Kress Paylo, 2015). Those who are diagnosed with autism spectrum disorder must present two types of symptoms: 1) Deficits in social communication and social interaction and 2) Restricted, repetitive patterns of behavior, interests or activities (APA, 2013). The DSM-5 merged all autism

Sunday, December 22, 2019

God s Existence Of God - 936 Words

Do Not Be Afraid to Explore More Than One Religion God’s existence sometimes does not exist to certain people. When it comes to the teaching and knowledge about God many people are not aware because they have never been taught about how God appeared on the earth. I choose this topic because I was one of those people who has never really been raised around certain religion nor about the teaching how God came to be. However, I have been taught that God does exist and that his son Jesus are the reason for why we get to live the lives we live. Do I question that sometimes? Of course and I am sure I am not the only person. I wanted to get someone else’s view on how they believe that God came to be before the world was even thought about. I figured that this podcast by Krista Tippett on The Evolution of God by Robert Wright would give me more insight on this topic and also help me see a different view on this subject compared to the one that I have been taught growing up by my family members. Robert Wright who is journalist and scholar is known for his books that challenge the way people think about their religion and God. One of the main things that Tippett questions wright about what type of environment he grew up in and what made him question the evolution of God. He describes that he was born into a family that strongly believed in the religion of Baptist and were very religious. During high school, specifically his sophomore year is when he finally understood the idea thatShow MoreRelatedThe Existence Of God s Existence1339 Words   |  6 Pagesidea of God. The existence of God is one of the most sought out topic that is frequently inquired. Is there really a God or is God merely a concept humans created to explain the unexplainable? And if God does exist, what makes him different from the rest of us? A well-known philosopher, St. Thomas Aquinas, introduced five proofs including the Cosmological Arguments of God’s existence, as well as explained some divine qualities that are associated with God. The nature of God’s existence is oftenRead MoreThe Debate Of God s Existence1671 Words   |  7 Pagestold to follow certain norms or otherwise the big guy upstairs will punish us for being â€Å"disobedient†. To many, â€Å"believing in God† is the only way to live, the reason for the way everything is, and it’s the meaning to life. To others, God, is just a popular view whose existence cannot be proven. While both Atheist and Agnostics agree on the questioning of God’s existence, they disagree on the reasoning of why thing are the way they are. Agnostics believe in a higher power while Atheists believe inRead MoreThe Argument Of God s Existence1737 Words   |  7 PagesEXPLANATION Does God exist? This question has been in debate for centuries with many opposing views, some arising from philosophers on the same side while others refute Gods existence altogether. However for this particular paper I will be taking the best explanations approach. What I mean by this is I do not have proof of God’s existence but the existence of God is the best explanation for the universe around me. With this statement in mind we will discuss arguments in support of God’s existence as wellRead MoreDescartes Argument For God s Existence Of God Essay1103 Words   |  5 Pages In this paper, I offer a reconstruction of Descartes argument for God’s existence in the Third Meditation. Descartes tries to prove the existence of God with an argument that proceeds from the clear and distinct idea of an infinite being to the existence of himself. He believes that his clear and distinct idea of an infinite being with infinite â€Å"objective reality† leads to the occurrence of the â€Å"Special Causal Principle†. I will start by discussing and analyzing Descartes clear and distinct ideaRead MoreThe Question Of God s Existence1575 Words   |  7 PagesSusana Stewart Instructor: Dr. Michael McDowell Course: PHIL 201 Date: 12/13/2015 INTRODUCTION The question of God’s existence has been challenged by many philosophers and non-philosophers alike over the years. If I am honest with myself, during many hard times I have questioned Gods existence myself. Arguments that have been used to support the existence of a divine being includes; the cosmological argument and the theological argument. However, there are some who oppose these arguments and philosopherRead MoreThe Belief Of God s Existence Essay2302 Words   |  10 Pagessound judgment formed through logic. The common belief of â€Å"seeing is believing† makes justifying why God does indeed exist hard for some people because how could a reasonable person believe in something that he or she cannot physically see? Although a person may not be able to physically see God, reason to believe in His existence still exists. It may even be seen as a leap of faith to believe that God exists without being able to physically see Him, yet it is a necessary jump to make. Hav ing a higherRead MoreThe Philosophy Of God s Existence1775 Words   |  8 PagesThe question of God’s existence, will, and manifestation, in some form or another, is one that has crossed the mind of virtually every person over 8,000 years and continues to be questioned and reinterpreted, and shaping our society as our answers to that question change over the years. Three of the most influential thinkers to attempt to define God, and God’s existence are David Hume (1711-1776), Immanuel Kant (1724-1804), and Georg Wilhelm Friedrich Hegel (1770-1831). The beliefs of these philosophersRead MoreAnshelm ¬Ã‚ ¥s Proof of God ¬Ã‚ ¥s Existence1466 Words   |  6 PagesThe question about the existence of God or, more generally speaking, of a supernatural entity that steers the course of the world, is probably as old as humanity itself. Many great philosophers were concerned with this basic and yet so important question which remains to be a controversial issue to this day! In the following I will commit myself to the above-mentioned question by firstly reconstructing Anselm ´s proof of God ´s existence and secondly considering his position in the light of the critiqueRead MoreGod s Existence Of The Eternal Self Essay1524 Words   |  7 PagesThe majority of Indian religions have a tendency to recognize the existence of Self (Radhakrishnan Moore, 1957). In Hindu culture, the persistent and abiding Self is known as Atman and identified with Brahman as Universe. Buddhism demonstrates a relative attitude to the Self which is recognized in many religions. The concept of rejecting Atman performs a meaningful role in the Buddhist philosophy. The doctrine of non-existence distinguished and named in Hindu as the an-Atman ignores the eternalRead MoreThe Argument For God s Existence And Nature2146 Words   |  9 PagesQuestion 2 In part IX of Hume’s Dialogues Concerning Natural Religion, Deamea, the orthodox Christian, confronts Philo’s skepticism towards the arguments for God’s existence and nature that have thus far be discussed. Deamea presents a version of the ontological argument that he believes should provide undeniable proof of the truths found in religious dogma. However, Philo is not convinced with this argument because of the nature of the argument. Philo describes Deamea’s ontological argument as an

Saturday, December 14, 2019

An International Investment Portfolio Accounting Essay Free Essays

International investing seems to pull many investors resulted from the many benefits of the published international investing portfolio by houses all over the universe. Fund investors can play a portion in the economic growing of the other states, able to reexamine their rate of hazard, recognizing variegation effects and taking advantage of different market sections on a planetary graduated table. Globalization reflects the world-wide growing of marketing single states. We will write a custom essay sample on An International Investment Portfolio Accounting Essay or any similar topic only for you Order Now These advantages may look alluring but the hazards involved for international investing must non be overlooked. In an international investing position, fiscal investings are non merely subjected to currency and political hazard. However, there are many organisations drawbacks and troubles, one of which is related to revenue enhancement issues. These failings of an organisation normally benefited those investors who are able to pull off to get the better of those troubles in a well-organised attack. 1 Introduction The international economic activities presently have been increased dramatically due to the investing of concern internationally. International economic systems have become incorporated through a huge web of communicating and trade with the aid of globalisation. Due to globalisation, international flow of fiscal assets have been improved by many progresss in better lower cost of communicating and conveyance, which means that geographical distances are unimportant and therefore national economic systems are closely linked. Investing portfolio normally involves the purchase of bonds, portions, stocks and assets by foreign international investors, all of them with the cardinal aim of accomplishing a fiscal net income. It works in a assortment of different ways toward the end of conserving and bring forthing net incomes. Money could be made from perchance any investing environment even though international fiscal markets are really much composite. International portfolio investing is someway hazardous. The greatest challenge faced about by all investors in doing an investing portfolio work is by cognizing precisely what to make at the right clip. The factors that usually affects are foreign exchange rates, involvement rates and revenue enhancement rates on involvements. Therefore, a well-diversified portfolio is recommended to extenuate hazard. When the investors want to broaden their investing, they will detect the international market and puting in foreign companies. The important ground why internation al portfolio investing might heighten stable returns and cut down hazard is the broader variegation. One of the benefits of broader variegation is risk-return trade-off, which is more profitable while puting internationally. Another possible benefit is the variegation of currency, which means it non merely exposed a foreign company ‘s operation, but besides to this foreign currency. As an investing fund director, the direction includes make up one’s minding what assets to buy, how many to buy, and when is the best clip to buy. These determinations must hold some analysis of measurings, which typically involves expected return on the portfolio and the hazard on the return. 2 Evaluation of the listed houses 2.1 Brief debut of the 3 list houses DASHANG GROUP ‘A ‘ Code: CN: DDS ( P ) explain SPECIALTY FASH.GP. ( BER ) Code: Calciferol: MVJ ( P ) explain Pacific Internet Code: Joule: PNET ( P ) explain 2.2 Asses the VaR exposure of the investings 2.3 Analyzing the economic exposure of each company Figure2.3.1: Figure 2.3.2: Figure 2.3.3: 2.3.1 Arrested development Analysis Arrested development analysis is a widely used statistical tool agencies on concentrating on analysing the relationship between a dependant variable, Y, and independent variable, X, utilizing the simple additive theoretical account Y = a + bX. Regression analysis gives an apprehension on how the dependant variable Y alterations with changing independent variable Ten. The values of X and Y are inputted into Microsoft Excel and by utilizing the arrested development attack, values of a and B are calculated. Excel will so end product a drumhead consisted of a arrested development statistics table and ANOVA. The R2 is a grade of fluctuation, measured in per centum, in the dependant variable that can be accounted for by the independent variables. Multiple R is fundamentally the square root of R2. The standard mistake is an estimated value that is determined by Excel in concurrence with the estimated coefficient. Adjusted R2 is calculated utilizing All calculated values are as shown in table 2.3.1.1. explain observations ( N ) . Arrested development Statisticss DASHANG GROUP ‘A ‘ SPECIALTY FASH.GP. Pacific Internet Multiple R 0.59815775 0.608295486 0.907217302 R2 0.357792693 0.370023398 0.823043232 Adjusted R2 0.356552911 0.368816546 0.822704235 Standard Error 2300.212343 38.18072501 118.5093191 Observations 520 524 524 Table 2.3.1.1:Arrested development Statisticss 2.3.2 ANOVA ( Analysis of Variance ) There are two tabular arraies in ANOVA. 2.3.2.1 ANOVA OUTPUT I The constituents of the ANOVA were tabulated utilizing the undermentioned equations: P represents the figure of coefficients and K represents the entire figure of coefficients which in this instance k=p+1= 2. Regression df = k – 1. Residual df = n – K. Entire df = n – 1. Entire SS = Regression SS + Residual SS. Regression MS = Regression SS/ ( k – 1 ) . Residual MS = Residual SS/ ( n – K ) . F =Regression MS/Residual MS. Significance F = FDIST ( F, k – 1, n – K ) . The consequences are as shown in tabular arraies 2.3.2.1, 2.3.2.2 and 2.3.2.3. Analysis of variance df United states secret service Multiple sclerosis F Significance F Arrested development 1 1526939549 1526939549 288.59 8.99811 A ; times ; 10-52 Residual 518 2740725995 5290976 N/A N/A Entire 519 4267665544 N/A N/A N/A Table 2.3.2.1:ANOVA end product I – DASHANG GROUP ‘A ‘ Analysis of variance df United states secret service Multiple sclerosis F Significance F Arrested development 1 446954.807 446954.807 306.6 2.40467 A ; times ; 10-54 Residual 522 760954.772 1457.8 N/A N/A Entire 523 1207909.58 N/A N/A N/A Table 2.3.2.2:ANOVA end product I – Forte FASH.GP. Analysis of variance df United states secret service Multiple sclerosis F Significance F Arrested development 1 34098162.8 34098162.8 2427.9 1.8982 A ; times ; 10-198 Residual 522 7331207.45 14044 N/A N/A Entire 523 41429370.2 N/A N/A N/A Table 2.3.2.3:ANOVA end product I – PACIFIC Internet 2.3.2.2 ANOVA OUTPUT II The following phase is the coefficients. ( Note that the Numberss have been converter to 3 denary topographic points to salvage infinite ) . It gives the coefficient for each parametric quantity, including the intercept. T-stat value is the ratio of the estimated coefficient value divided by the standard mistake value. T-stat value can be compared across all variables in comparing with the criterion error.. The p-value is associated with the variable, and the assurance intervals of the parametric quantity estimates as evaluated by Excel. Analysis of variance Coefficients Std. Mistake T stat P-value Lower 95 % Upper 95 % Intercept -4642.803 833.091 -5.573 4 A ; times ; 10-8 -6279.455 -3006.151 X Var 1 1212.5559 71.377 16.988 9 A ; times ; 10-52 1072.332 1352.78 Table 2.3.3.1:ANOVA end product II – DASHANG GROUP ‘A ‘ Analysis of variance Coefficients Std. Mistake T stat P-value Lower 95 % Upper 95 % Intercept 424.128 19.535 21.711 6 A ; times ; 10-75 385.751 462.505 X Var 1 -165.397 9.446 -17.51 2 A ; times ; 10-54 -183.953 -146.84 Table 2.3.3.2:ANOVA end product II – Forte FASH.GP. Analysis of variance Coefficients Std. Mistake T stat P-value Lower 95 % Upper 95 % Intercept -412.872 30.206 -13.67 1 A ; times ; 10-36 -472.213 -353.532 X Var 1 9.125 0.185 49.273 2 A ; times ; 10-198 8.761 9.488 Table 2.3.3.3:ANOVA end product II – Pacific Internet 2.3.3 Assurance Time intervals for Slope Coefficients 95 % assurance interval for incline coefficient A ; szlig ; 2 is from Excel end product ( -1.4823, 2.1552 ) . Excel computes this as b2 Â ± t_.025 ( 3 ) – Se ( b2 )= 0.33647 Â ± TINV ( 0.05, 2 ) – 0.42270= 0.33647 Â ± 4.303 – 0.42270= 0.33647 Â ± 1.8189= ( -1.4823, 2.1552 ) . Other assurance intervals can be obtained.For illustration, to happen 99 % assurance intervals: in the Regression duologue box ( in the Data Analysis Add-in ) , look into the Confidence Level box and set the degree to 99 % . 2.3.4 Test of Statistical Significance The coefficient of HH SIZE has estimated standard mistake of 0.4227, t-statistic of 0.7960 and p-value of 0.5095.It is hence statistically undistinguished at significance degree a = .05 as P gt ; 0.05. The coefficient of CUBED HH SIZE has estimated standard mistake of 0.0131, t-statistic of 0.1594 and p-value of 0.8880.It is hence statistically undistinguished at significance degree a = .05 as P gt ; 0.05. There are 5 observations and 3 regressors ( intercept and ten ) so we use t ( 5-3 ) =t ( 2 ) .For illustration, for HH SIZE P = =TDIST ( 0.796,2,2 ) = 0.5095. 2.3.5 Test Hypothesis on a Regression Parameter Here we test whether HH SIZE has coefficient A ; szlig ; 2 = 1.0. Example: H0: A ; szlig ; 2 = 1.0 against Ha: A ; szlig ; 2? 1.0 at significance degree a = .05. Then T = ( b2 – H0 value of A ; szlig ; 2 ) / ( standard mistake of b2 ) = ( 0.33647 – 1.0 ) / 0.42270 = -1.569. 2.3.5.1 Using the p-value attack p-value = TDIST ( 1.569, 2, 2 ) = 0.257. [ Here n=5 and k=3 so n-k=2 ] . Do non reject the void hypothesis at degree.05 since the p-value is gt ; 0.05. 2.3.5.2 Using the critical value attack We computed t = -1.569 The critical value is t_.025 ( 2 ) = TINV ( 0.05,2 ) = 4.303. [ Here n=5 and k=3 so n-k=2 ] . So make non reject void hypothesis at degree.05 since T = |-1.569| lt ; 4.303. 2.3.6 Overall Test of Significance of the Regression Parameters We test H0: A ; szlig ; 2 = 0 and A ; szlig ; 3 = 0 versus Hour angle: at least one of A ; szlig ; 2 and A ; szlig ; 3 does non equal nothing. From the ANOVA tabular array the F-test statistic is 4.0635 with p-value of 0.1975. Since the p-value is non less than 0.05 we do non reject the void hypothesis that the arrested development parametric quantities are zero at significance degree 0.05. Conclude that the parametric quantities are jointly statistically undistinguished at significance degree 0.05. Note:Significance F in general = FINV ( F, k-1, n-k ) where K is the figure of regressors including the intercept. Here FINV ( 4.0635,2,2 ) = 0.1975. 2.3.7 Predicted Value of Y Given Regressors See instance where x = 4 in which instance CUBED HH SIZE = x^3 = 4^3 = 64. yhat = b1 + b2 x2 + b3 x3 = 0.88966 + 0.3365-4 + 0.0021-64 = 2.37006 2.3.8 Excel Restrictions Arrested development in Excel has a figure of restrictions: No standardized coefficients. It was really hard to construe unstandardised coefficients. The standardized coefficients could be calculated utilizing the unstandardised coefficient if it is needed. Lack of diagnostic graphs. The standard diagnostic graphs were non available in Excel, such as the secret plan of the remainders, the scatter-plot or remainders against predicted values. Lack of Diagnostic statistics. There were no co-linearity nosologies, which would supply a more apprehension of the informations that was analyzed. Excel standard mistakes and t-statistics and p-values are based on the premise that the mistake is independent with changeless variable. Excel does non supply alternaties, such autocorrelation criterion mistakes and t-statistics and p-values. 3 Decision 4 Mention hypertext transfer protocol: //www.qimacros.com/qiwizard/regression.html hypertext transfer protocol: //mallit.fr.umn.edu/fr4218/assigns/excel_reg.html hypertext transfer protocol: //www.jeremymiles.co.uk/regressionbook/extras/appendix2/excel/ How to cite An International Investment Portfolio Accounting Essay, Essay examples

Friday, December 6, 2019

Carnival Cruise Line free essay sample

The IT improvement will help CCL to achieve the future goal that attract more loyal customer, help CCL to arrange customized activities, lower inventory cost and attract more first timers and repeaters by cooperating with travel agencies to promote their product. Provide Fun ship service with low cost and customer friendly strategy Carnival is a low-cost and customer oriented company which provides fun for a broad market. (Exhibit1 illustrates the core competiveness and key activities of CCL. ) â€Å"Fun Ship† theme is the key competitive advantage of CCL which â€Å"wants to think of the boat as the destination, and the ports as secondary†.At the same time, they use various promotional channels and wide ticket price range to attract broader market. Low cost strategy, customer friendly service and efficient product distribution enable CCL to be the leading company in the cruise industry. CCL performed well in the past and boasts bright future market, but there is still a large room of strategic improvement to break the bottleneck and achieve an even stronger market position. We will write a custom essay sample on Carnival Cruise Line or any similar topic specifically for you Do Not WasteYour Time HIRE WRITER Only 13.90 / page Recommend an IT investment in cruiser behavior analysis system Make an investment in developing a Cruiser Behavior Estimation system will optimize the current CRM system.In analysis of the current CRM system (Exhibit 2 virtualizes the process of current CRM system), I find that CCL has already embraced a comprehensive IS and the FSS perfectly create a cashless society on board with the SS card, but they don’t take full advantage of cruiser activity data. In the Exhibit 2, we can find that CCL don’t have any further estimation of the customer behavior. I improve the CRM process by adding a cruiser behavior estimation process, numbered as process 8 in the DFD (Exhibit3). With the process, the aligned CRM will improve customer service and create business value in four aspects.Raise customer satisfaction with the Behavior analysis system The newly added cruiser behavior estimation system will enable CCL to make quick response and give provide diversified activity recommendation. (Exhibit 3 presents my proposed IT-enabled process improvement and the aligned process numbered as a). After the analysis of the cruiser activities data, CCL can estimate that preference of on-board cruisers and make the personalized activity recommendations to encourage continuing shopping in the following days on board, which is similar to the â€Å"Amazon Recommendation for you†.The system will also help â€Å"Cruise staff quick learns guests’ name and preference. † Information from the system lower the inventory cost The customer pref erence and actual on-board consumption information will be recorded in customer database and used to predict their future consumption of inventory. (Exhibit 3 process b)The system will use the data to estimate the customers’ demand in the following days. Then the inventory center uses the estimation to adjust their supply. Therefore, the action will definitely save money for CCL with accurate inventory supply.Evaluate the customer loyalty with the system The evaluation results of customer loyalty will serve for further marketing promotion. (Exhibit 3 process c)Many customer behaviors will act as an evident to predict the potential customers. For instance, the most first timer wants to try some brand new activities, while the repeater prefers to more enjoyable experience. With the data analysis, they can predict the potential repeaters and send the information to PVPs to make the further promotion. Enhance the corporation with travel agency